CryptoPunk #3193 valuation (beta)
Male, Peak Spike, Clown Eyes Green.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 31.4 ETH (about $66,644). 1σ range 28.9 to 34.1 ETH, 2σ range 26.7 to 36.9 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 09:04 UTC, floor 30.40 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-08, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 31.4 ETH (beta), 1σ range 28.9 to 34.1 ETH, 2σ range 26.7 to 36.9 ETH, confidence High, as of 09:04 UTC, floor 30.40 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-08).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 09:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-08.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (771 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -3%, Peak Spike -6%, Clown Eyes Green -7%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #9018 2026-11-06: 31.8 ETH (31.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #9018 2026-10-29: 30.0 ETH (31.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #3662 2026-10-25: 30.0 ETH (29.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #9404 2026-10-25: 29.5 ETH (29.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #3662 2026-10-25: 29.1 ETH (28.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #8427 2026-10-23: 29.4 ETH (28.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #2235 2026-09-24: 36.0 ETH (32.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #4714 2026-09-24: 39.9 ETH (36.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-12-25: 65.5 ETH (sale)
- 2022-01-14: 59.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2022-01-14: 62.0 ETH (sale)
- 2022-03-19: 70.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2022-03-19: 71.5 ETH (sale)
- 2023-01-18: 66.5 ETH (sale)
- 2023-01-30: 69.7 ETH (sale)
- 2023-03-14: 66.8 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2023-04-08: 62.0 ETH (sale)
- 2025-07-20: 45.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.