CryptoPunk #3761 valuation (beta)
Male, Front Beard, Headband, Small Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 35.4 ETH (about $75,139). 1σ range 32.3 to 38.8 ETH, 2σ range 29.5 to 42.5 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 09:04 UTC, floor 30.40 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-08, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 35.4 ETH (beta), 1σ range 32.3 to 38.8 ETH, 2σ range 29.5 to 42.5 ETH, confidence High, as of 09:04 UTC, floor 30.40 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-08).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 09:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-08.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (771 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, Front Beard -7%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #8871 2026-10-16: 32.0 ETH (31.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #8871 2026-09-23: 34.0 ETH (30.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #2075 2026-05-02: 37.0 ETH (36.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #9855 2026-02-05: 31.5 ETH (32.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #9855 2025-11-20: 30.0 ETH (30.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #8151 2025-11-11: 33.0 ETH (29.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #2323 2025-09-03: 51.9 ETH (32.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #2323 2025-08-24: 48.5 ETH (29.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
Sales of this punk
- 2019-02-28: 0.35 ETH (sale)
- 2025-12-16: 26.4 ETH (sale)
- 2025-12-19: 27.4 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.