CryptoPunk #4804 valuation (beta)
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 32.7 ETH (about $69,386). 1σ range 30.2 to 35.4 ETH, 2σ range 27.8 to 38.4 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 09:04 UTC, floor 30.40 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-08, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 32.7 ETH (beta), 1σ range 30.2 to 35.4 ETH, 2σ range 27.8 to 38.4 ETH, confidence High, as of 09:04 UTC, floor 30.40 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-08).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 09:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-08.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (771 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -3%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #7446 2025-04-26: 60.0 ETH (41.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #7446 2025-01-14: 45.0 ETH (33.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #7446 2024-11-30: 46.5 ETH (35.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #3425 2026-11-08: 30.4 ETH (30.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #9585 2026-11-02: 31.0 ETH (31.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #3425 2026-11-02: 27.6 ETH (27.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #5394 2026-10-30: 35.0 ETH (37.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #8427 2026-10-23: 29.4 ETH (28.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
Sales of this punk
- 2020-09-24: 2.93 ETH (sale)
- 2021-02-01: 5.60 ETH (sale)
- 2021-02-21: 17.9 ETH (sale)
- 2021-02-21: 19.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-10-10: 108 ETH (sale)
- 2021-12-09: 79.9 ETH (sale)
- 2024-01-02: 55.5 ETH (sale)
- 2024-04-12: 40.5 ETH (sale)
- 2024-05-10: 38.5 ETH (sale)
- 2024-08-20: 26.9 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.