CryptoPunk #6204 valuation (beta)
Male, Front Beard, Cowboy Hat, Small Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 69.1 ETH (about $146,648). 1σ range 46.9 to 102 ETH, 2σ range 31.9 to 150 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 09:04 UTC, floor 30.40 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-08, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 69.1 ETH (beta), 1σ range 46.9 to 102 ETH, 2σ range 31.9 to 150 ETH, confidence Low, as of 09:04 UTC, floor 30.40 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-08).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 09:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-08.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (771 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, Front Beard -7%, Cowboy Hat +95%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #8871 2026-10-16: 32.0 ETH (31.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #8871 2026-09-23: 34.0 ETH (30.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #2833 2026-07-03: 76.0 ETH (71.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #6891 2026-07-03: 97.0 ETH (90.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #3761 2025-12-19: 27.4 ETH (31.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #3761 2025-12-16: 26.4 ETH (29.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #1999 2025-04-13: 65.0 ETH (46.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #2913 2025-02-08: 41.5 ETH (36.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
Sales of this punk
- 2017-11-20: 0.10 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.