CryptoPunk #8154 valuation (beta)
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 31.9 ETH (about $67,729). 1σ range 30.2 to 33.7 ETH, 2σ range 28.5 to 35.6 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 09:04 UTC, floor 30.40 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-08, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 31.9 ETH (beta), 1σ range 30.2 to 33.7 ETH, 2σ range 28.5 to 35.6 ETH, confidence High, as of 09:04 UTC, floor 30.40 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-08).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 09:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-08.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (439 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +4%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #5191 2026-10-14: 58.0 ETH (56.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #1165 2026-10-01: 33.7 ETH (31.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #1165 2026-09-29: 32.8 ETH (29.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #2876 2026-09-22: 32.4 ETH (30.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #6573 2026-09-21: 32.0 ETH (31.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #2876 2026-08-27: 31.8 ETH (29.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #2876 2026-08-27: 31.0 ETH (29.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #2876 2026-08-16: 32.2 ETH (30.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-07-17: 21.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-20: 50.0 ETH (sale)
- 2023-02-10: 65.0 ETH (sale)
- 2023-03-20: 74.8 ETH (sale)
- 2023-04-02: 61.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2023-12-29: 63.0 ETH (sale)
- 2025-11-12: 31.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2026-04-22: 29.4 ETH (sale)
- 2026-08-31: 30.5 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.